Casual commentary about political, cultural and economic issues with a particular interest on the city of Winnipeg by John Dobbin
Thursday, October 28, 2010
Three Terms And Out?
I heard it a few times last night that this will be Sam Katz's third and final term. Not entirely convinced of that since he had previously stated that he would limit himself to two terms.
But what if he truly means it?
My guess is that we would see several councillors toss their hats into the right.
Off the top of my head:
Gord Steeves Danny Vandal
Judy Wasylycia-Leis will probably want to return. One wonders what she will do the next four years but if she stays in the public eye, she could possibly do it. Certainly her pension money ought to keep her flush till then.
Given the tepid support he gave to JWL, perhaps Russ Wyatt might run.
Of the newcomers on council, look to Paula Havixbeck to possibly see the full Tory machine and unions support her.
There are a few councillors who might consider running but might stand down with NDP pressure quietly (or loudly) telling them to not to do it. That doesn't always work: Ask Harvey Smith about that. He decided not to be pushed.
If the provincial election goes badly for the NDP next year, we could see additional refugees from the NDP. Who that might be is anyone's guess. It is even possible that some provincial Progressive Conservatives might decide to run.
We should know shortly about the federal byelection of Winnipeg North Center. If Kevin Lamoureux doesn't capture the seat, could we see him make a try for the city?
From the federal Tories, might we see:
Rod Bruinooge Shelly Glover Steven Fletcher Joy Smith
Between now and the next civic election, we will see a federal election. We could see a change of government or a few seat changes. Some of those MPs or former MPs might be looking at the mayor's job.
I expect that there would be a lot of interest from non-politician types. Expect at least a half dozen people to toss their hat in the ring.
In four years, police chief Keith McCaskill might run.
From the media side, maybe we see these people consider running:
Hal Anderson Marty Gold Geoff Currier
Another Liberal who might make a try is Assembly of Manitoba Chiefs leader Ron Evans if he decides to call Winnipeg home.
I expect a few aboriginal leaders to mull running.
From the business side of Winnipeg, I expect:
Dave Angus Larry McIntosh
Could someone from the Chipman or Asper family decide to run?
I'm sure there are plenty of other names to toss around. Feel free to chime in here.
Or is this speculation all for naught? Will Sam Katz decide he really, really likes being mayor and run for a fourth term?