Casual commentary about political, cultural and economic issues with a particular interest on the city of Winnipeg by John Dobbin
Sunday, September 29, 2024
Winnipeg Sun Switches to Broadsheet
Saturday, September 28, 2024
Pierre Poilievre Next Prime Minister of Canada?
Monday, September 23, 2024
Rogers Buys Bell Canada Enterprises Shares in Maple Leafs Sports and Entertainment
The reaction of the Toronto media has been full on over the top. Some are saying it is brilliant, others are concerned about so much power with one corporation and others convinced it doesn't create winners in Toronto sports. All of those things can be true. Toronto will only have two major sports franchises not owned by Rogers. The Professional Women's Hockey League team and the upcoming WNBA team.
There are numerous sports ownership groups out there. Few are as entrenched in one city covering as many sports as Rogers now does. The only ownership they presently lack is a NFL team. Few have captured one city as well as Rogers. Some of the debt from the purchase Rogers has made should come from NBA expansion fees, renewal of NHL TV rights and facilities rentals for concerts and events to name a few areas. Sports franchises continue to rise in value all the time.
Bell retain TV rights for 20 years for hockey and basketball for CTV and TSN. This is probably the least the government would allow. Rogers having complete control would be awful. It would likely violate antitrust in Canada and possibly elsewhere. After Rogers gobbled up Shaw, the Canadian government of any political stripe is likely to frown on the company if the act like pigs.
Bell is massively in debt after investing in their 5G network. They also have kept their dividend going for 16 years. Their corporate media buy of CTV/TSN assets have not served them well and they have cut 1/4 quarter of their workforce. The amount of debt has been weighing them down. Selling the teams while retaining rights is likely the best way to reduce debt if that is what they plan to do. Paying a dividend and not reducing debt would be dumb.
Rogers also has debt. It is why they are selling Monday rights to NHL games in Canada to Amazon for the next two years. That starts this year. For cable cutters who have Rogers and Bell, it is yet another reasons to stop cable altogether. Amazon already does Thursday Night Football and hired veteran Al Michaels but they have been graced with trash games for the last year. The first game for the NHL on Amazon is a more promising Pittsburg Penguins and Montreal Canadiens. They will also be doing a NHL talk show on the network.
Bell can't seem to run the conglomerate they have. The heavy debt, huge corporate bonuses and large dividend means they don't run their assets very well. The rely on government subsidy and protection. The six big global ad companies led by Google and Facebook hoover all the ad money. This is a world-wide problem and the U.S and Europe are acting on in antirust. The Liberal government in Canada has helped subsidize news and taxed companies like Google. The Conservatives have indicated big changes are coming including the likely end of CBC. It is unclear if this helps internet, media and telecoms in in Canada. They could all be close to folding and asking for international buyouts in the next years.
Bell keeps begging the government for help but it is hard to be sympathetic when they always cut, always acquire businesses and then cut them and give their leadership bonuses while having large profits and asking the government for subsidies or loosened rules to acquire more and provide less.
There is talk Bell might sell the antenna real estate it has all over the country. They are already downsizing real estate assets they have. Lower interest rates should help them. However, it has literally been decades of high prices and cuts over the years.
Rogers could make the sporting assets a real money spinner but they also seem to acquire assets, debt and high fees with other cuts in service. Meanwhile, telecom competition is growing while profits remain high. It could be Rogers feels more heat if their teams are chronic underperformers.
Friday, September 20, 2024
Party City Expands in Winnipeg and Canada
The company should not be confused with Winnipeg-based Party Stuff which has three locations in the city and has existed since since the 1950s and owned by the Glass family since 1982. Their Polo Park location on Century has been there since 1985. The family also has a Halloween shop on Regent in addition to their other Party Stuff locations.
Party City, owned by Canadian Tire, should be not be confused with the Spirit Halloween stores either. This is one of their big competitors although those stores are only in places less than half a year. It would be a mistake to think that party stores are only about the holidays certain times of year. They are for milestones and fundraisers as well as retirements and birthdays.
Winnipeg has rated two new stores of the four that are newly built for Party City.
Locations of the four new stores:
- Party City Kanata, 501 Earl Grey Drive, Kanata, ON
- Party City Kitchener Sunrise Centre, 1400 Ottawa Street South, Kitchener, ON
- Party City Winnipeg Kenaston, 1765 Kenaston Boulevard, Winnipeg, MB
- Party City Winnipeg Polo Park, 1545 Portage Avenue, Winnipeg, MB
The former EQ3 location at Polo Park is one location. Since the furniture store moved into the old Sears, the old EQ3 sport has looked for a permanent replacement. It held a Spirit Halloween store strangely enough. Party City should find the Polo Park spot a busy location. And for Cadillac Fairview, the store is a unique attraction.
The other location opened is the former Nygard store in Linden Woods. It seemed a big reach to find a single retailer to take over the large space but Party City has filled the whole spot.
The one stop aspect of a party store is favoured by many. Walmart and Costco just don't carry as many balloons and knick knacks, decorations. The party stores also cover other religious and ethnic celebrations well. It just don't feel like a Christmas store. Halloween though has grown into an enormous industry in the last years.Thursday, September 19, 2024
More Housing for Seasons in Tuxedo Site
The Seasons of Tuxedo and Seasons in Tuxedo area has been non-stop construction for more than a decade. IKEA has been up since 2011 years and the area on both sides of Sterling Lyon have been transformed. From zero population back then as industrial land, it now has thousands living and working there every day.
Thursday, September 12, 2024
Canada's Couche-Tarde-Circle K Attempting Takeover of 7-Eleven
It sometimes comes as shock to North Americans that 7-Eleven is owned by the Japanese. It has been since 1991 when it bought a bankrupt Southland in Dallas, Texas that owned the company. The late 1980s and 1990s saw major purchases by Japanese companies of assets in North America. At the time it caused all sorts of fear. However, Sony and 7-Eleven among them, have been good owners of these assets. Perhaps, they might have been run better because they were Japanese.
At the moment Nippon Steel is trying to takeover U.S. and both Republicans and Democrats are vowing to block the deal. The U.S. steel manufacturer says that without the takeover thousands of American jobs will be lost. With this in mind. a decision either way on the steel purchase could factor in on the 7-Eleven purchase by Canada's largest convenience store owner. If the steel deal goes through, questions will arise about the ability of takeovers going the other way. If the deal doesn't go through, Japan can make similar arguments about why the 7-Eleven deal should not go through.
Circle K has been around as a brand in western Canada since 2018. It was part of a re-branding of the Mac's Stores that dotted the city for decades. Mac's logo once had been a cat's head that eventually became a red owl. Circle K's owner Couche-Tarde essentially means "night owl."
The first acquisition bid by Circle K has been rejected as being too low and not taking into account antitrust. The combined assets of 7-Eleven and Circle K in North America could bring calls for a sell off of some stores and gas stations. A Circle K and a 7-Eleven on the same corner from one another would hardly be competitive.
People in Winnipeg are familiar with this with Sobeys and Safeways using the same flyers while often being across the street from one another. Sobeys was required to sell some stores in Winnipeg to complete their purchase but there are still many stores very near one another. This is the case across much of western Canada.
The owners of 7-Eleven have asked the government to declare the company part of their national security core assets. The Japanese government seems reluctant to do that since the company essentially bought a U.S. company and asking that it be declared forever Japanese could hurt other trade. As mentioned before, Nippon Steel's deal for U.S. Steel depends on each country mostly staying out of it except where it comes to antitrust.
While 7-Eleven might have the same owner in Japan and Canada, they operate with their local customers in mind. However 7-Eleven has far fewer locations in Canada than what is found in Japan. In Canada all magazines have been purged from the stores. There used to be a whole row. Japanese 7-Elevens still have a row of them. It is not uncommon to see 20 or 30 people casually reading inside stores. Some stores are dropping the magazines but it is at a slower pace that it has been for Canada.
What Japan has purged are Slurpee machines in some stores. They just not big sellers compared to Canada. In some stores there a 20 flavours of Slurpees lined up along with the Big Gulp dispensers. Japan sets up more space for food sales, especially, rice balls known as onigiri. Chicken and other items are fresh every day at the store. With literally thousands of stores in Japan, deliveries are made multiple times a day of product. Canada has under 620 7-Eleven stores for the whole country. Winnipeg has many stores but at least four due to issues of lease or crime have closed. The city could lose ten more and crime has been blamed by top execs of the corporation.
Canada has its own executive offices of 7-Eleven in Surrey, B.C. and world-wide executive offices are in Irvine, Texas. Ownership and management of 7-Eleven is in Tokyo. Canada has it's execs appointed by world head office. For the first time in 15 years it is headed up by a Canadian.
All things being equal, a takeover of Circle K by 7-Eleven is just as likely a scenario. The issues of antitrust would still apply. The 7-Eleven company has outbid Circle K a number of times for U.S. assets. The only reason Circle K appears stronger is that they have been assessed as having more market value and are favourable to shareholders.
If Circle K takes over 7-Eleven, it might eventually get approved by their board only if there is a plan that the U.S. and Japan and other countries can agree on. In Japan the Fair Trade Commission could order some aspects of 7-Eleven divested such as banking or other aspects of the business. However, since Circle K is not in the Japanese market in a big way, it will be curious what concerns they might raise.
While 7-Eleven is a very successful company, it is has underperformed the market for five years. It is has not increased shareholder value despite acquisitions. The market valuation for the company is below Circle K which has had very successful shareholder increases. There are shareholder activists in 7-Eleven who are pushing the company to do better. They might not support the Circle K bid based on not enough money offered but they won't support the company running to the government to thwart the takeover based on nebulous national security claims. Nor will the government likely allow two Japanese konbini companies to combine to take a 60% presence in Japan just to keep out Circle K.
As good a company as 7-Eleven is, the low shareholder value makes them vulnerable. Couche-tarde has asked for a meeting to see what the board of 7-Eleven might be looking for. It is a meeting that that they can't easily rebuff. If 7-Eleven itself is looking for new acquisitions around the world, it can ill afford to look as if they can buy assets and no Japanese asset is available for sale due to their efforts and government protection.
Make no mistake, the thousands of 7-Elevens in Japan have become part of the culture and a critical supply chain provider of so much. I was present when in Japan when the purchase took place in 1991. The stores were popular but in the last decades they have taken off and are clearly everywhere. Other konbini stores that are prolific are FamilyMart, Daily Yamazaki and Lawson. In my hometown on Tsuru, I had a Daily store and a FamilyMart within walking distance. I preferred FamilyMart for their fresh sandwiches. However, both had fresh foods I liked that they were close. A 7-Eleven was about a 20 minute drive from by scooter so I went there from time to time. Back then the Slurpees were limited to a few flavours and like a lot of Canadians outside Canada, I felt the Slurpees were different and not as good. I have felt this way about Slurpees in the U.S. as well.
As far as the rest of the store went, it had snacks and product not found in Canada. Fresh sushi is always there as well as rice balls. However, at Japanese 7-Elevens you can buy concert tickets and pay bills in addition to the ATM. All Japanese stores have free Wi-Fi which is a popular attraction. It doesn't appear to be the case in Canada or the U.S. as a corporate-wide thing. It is just a few examples of how service is all about how Japanese 7-Eleven's operate.
Canada does innovate in ways unique to its market. Throughout Canada, a large number of stores will be serving alcohol in a small lounges. In Winnipeg that will be at their Ness location where 10 seats will be reserved for 18 and older for cider, beer and wine. The area will be open 12 to 11 every day. Some people thought it was a bad idea but some people thought movie theatres and alcohol was a bad idea and today Cineplex in Canada outperforms the market.
Some 7-Elevens in Canada sell gas but it is seen less in Manitoba than other areas. Circle K in North America is more likely to be a seller of gas. Another offer is likely for 7-Eleven from Circle K soon. However, it is entirely possible that Circle K makes an approach to Mitsubishi to buy Lawson instead. The convenience store subsidiary is enormous as well and might be more amenable to a purchase offer.
Regardless if Circle K and 7-Eleven become one company, it is likely they will continue to innovate and offer more fresh food. In Winnipeg, the big question is how will 7-Eleven and other convenience stores deal with the issue of crime. In Japan crime is not something most of the stores have to worry about. In much of Japan, vending machines are everywhere which seems impossible in much of Canada.
If the companies ever combined in Canada, it would mean the 2,100 stores of Circle K and the 620 stores of 7-Eleven would start to have the synergy that Japan has to keep prices down and deliveries coming a few time a day. It still would come close to the amount of stores Japan has and how much competition there is.