Pembina Hall was added to the University of Manitoba to make way for major work to expand academic teaching space into Tache Hall. It was imperative for the university to build housing to unlock donation money that came in. That will has died off waiting for the next capital campaign. It has only been private investors who have filled the void and it has taken a while for these projects to get done.
The Toronto-based Campus Suites began the process eight years ago and acquired land and began to build the first of two 16 storey mixed use towers across from the University of Manitoba. At the southwest corner of Pembina and Bison Drive, the first tower began to take shape around 2017. A spectacular fire just as it reached the top floor delayed the project but eventually the ARC was completed. It made for a fairly bold skyline just at the curve on Pembina Highway was in front of the university.Casual commentary about political, cultural and economic issues with a particular interest on the city of Winnipeg by John Dobbin
Wednesday, July 24, 2024
More Student Housing Outside University of Manitoba
Sunday, July 21, 2024
The Low Cost of Parking Permits in Winnipeg
Think about your own streets and how many cars are parked out front each night every night. Even when someone has two parking spaces, they sometimes end filling their garage with stuff to store and end up parking on the street instead. Along many residential streets in Winnipeg, it is an unbroken chain of cars parked overnight every night, most without permits. Even where permits are required, the cost is so low annually that it likely costs more to issue documents than what comes in.
Winnipeg charges $50 a year for an annual parking permit. Calgary is $30 a year. In Toronto, it is $300 a year. Any of those rates seems like a deep subsidy given the value of the roads. The cost of building nearly free parking is staggering and yet every city does it. Safe to say that if all overnight parking had a fee and that it rose every year then more people might actually park in their garages or seek other parking options.
How is that short term parking pay high prices and end up being towed when in Winnipeg you can pay $50 a park all year. What's the point of parking in your garage? It is so cheap to pay for parking on your street. It is easier to save money not using a storage locker and fill a double garage than pay market rates privately. And don't think that doesn't happen. There are so many garages filled with stuff and cars out in the street because the cost and consequences of it are so low.
The city is so cash strapped that giving this space away for free and having it occupied all the time so that it can't be used for deliveries or customers is costly in so many ways. The last time the city looked at this was many years ago. We clearly have a cars up and down every street even when people have space to park them. This should help make people realize there is a cost for this and the city will be able to bill people for the actual cost.
Saturday, July 20, 2024
Manitoba Metis Federation Buys Two More Towers in Winnipeg
Just down the street the MMF has offices in the the former Wawanesa tower at Broadway and Main as well as other offices in the former sport federation building. Wawanesa consolidated their five offices in a tower at True North Square. MMF has around 300 employees working out of the building at 200 Main Street. That office building also comes with both an underground as well as surface parking lot.
The MMF has other offices they have been using but as their leader David Chatrand explained, they have upgrades needed that need to be done. It is likely the move to to new BellMTS towers will be an upgrade on quality compared to some of the older buildings out there. As if to demonstrated the disrepair of downtown buildings, it was reported that the Canada Building is closed after flooding affecting Manitoba government offices.
The MMF is its own level of government as a Red River Metis, the leadership has chosen downtown Winnipeg as where their cultural, political and economic centre is. It is hard to peg how many employees they have altogether but at least 500 now will work along Main in the 24 floor 333 Main Street, the 13 floor 191 Pioneer Avenue and the 7 floor 400 Main Street location. The MMF have a total of 11 buildings downtown including 280 Fort Street, the former Carlton Club and Yoga Public location.
The 280 Fort Street is planned as a 36 room boutique hotel. There will be many watching that with interest to see how well it goes. The $154 million in land claim money awarded in 2018 has helped spur these investments and some such as RV park near St. Laurent are starting to turn a profit. A tree nursery is also a business owed by the Metis. The total value of buildings and parking lots bought total around $122 million.
The MMF has signed a $500 million agreement for housing and has recently built 20 units of transitional housing at old Bell Hotel location for $4.3 million. Elsewhere in the province they are building houses and retirement residences. It is likely we will see more housing as there is a limit to how much commercial buildings the Metis want to be exposed to.
The next 20 years the critical area for development in housing and the Metis will likely be critical in building that housing. Of course much of this will be for the Metis community but like their commercial buildings, it will likely have tenants across the spectrum. The business success for Metis will continue to come from from the diversity of their businesses that serve all Canadians. Listening to David Chartrand, he seems to take Winnipeg's overall health as critical to the success of Metis health. He isn't wrong. Partnership is the way to go for prosperity and long term healthy success.Wednesday, July 17, 2024
Canada and NATO
The 32 member alliance has seen two new members join in Finland and Sweden. These two long time neutral countries have joined because of the growing threat from Russia and aggression in Ukraine and in other areas. The key metric for NATO countries to hit in military spending is 2% including 20% on new military equipment. In another post I point out how Canada has tripled military spending under Trudeau but we are only at 1.3% of GDP. The plan is to get to 1.7% by 2030.
This is simply not good enough for our allies, especially since 10 years from now the expectation is we still don't get to 2%. Liberal cabinet ministers still talk about soft power and sanctions but they clearly are not working. Bill Blair, the defence minister, is desperately saying more announcements will push it over 2%. He specifically is talking about Navy subs that are either diesel or nuclear. The Australians are buying nuclear ones at a cost of up to $368 billion through to 2050. This would buy between three and five Virginia-class nuclear subs as well as sub manufacturing capabilities. This is part of the Labor party Australia goal of 2% of GDP although the subs would be .15% of that total over the years.
Trudeau met with U.S. senators from both parties and a non-partisan group is pushing Canada to commit to 2%. Canada is being singled out as the riches country with the lowest spending. However, as one of the richer NATO members, it means in dollar amounts it is higher than a lot of European countries. Moreover, Canada commands a brigade in Latvia as well as fully supports Ukraine.
Both the Liberals and Conservatives have not said how they will get to 2%. Pierre Poilievre is pretty quiet on this because he does not want to detail how Conservatives will do that because it is not a vote winner. Certain groups have indicated that they believe we can't hit 2% without significant debt.
The focus on Canada is making the Trudeau government squirm in ways that they likely hoped would not come. However, Trudeau should not be be surprised as his dad had the same thing happen and had to bring Canada's military spending up to avoid economic sanctions from our allies. Although the Pacific is not part of NATO, Canada has been left out of talks and alliances because soft power is not wanted.
Canada was a founding member of NATO and huge contributor to NATO. Few people were untouched by WWII. Many understood the implications of the Soviet threat and the fear Germany would rebuild and be involved in some way after the war. Soviet aggression through 1950s to the 1980s reinforced the view that NATO was needed. Canada kept forces in Germany thereafter until the 1990s when the Cold War ended with the Soviet Union break-up. Still, over the last 75 years Canadian financing of the military has ebbed and flowed. Sometimes it has been 2% and other times it has been below.
Canada's military is not the only one to be struggling. Britain has nearly 2.5% GDP spending and yet says it could not field a fighting unit for more than 30 days. Canada currently spends $27 billion a year on the military. Australia spends roughly $10-12 billion more than us and 2.2% GDP. It is no wonder Britain and the U.S. have nothing bad to say about Australia. As for Australia, they are terrified of China right in their back yard.
Canada ranks as 7th largest spender in dollars in NATO and 14the largest spender in the world. During the Harper years Canada spent .97 of GDP on defence despite big talks about how they were law and order party. It could explain why they have not been all over the media criticizing Liberal spending which literally outpaces the Tories. Next year's election will probably not bring clarity on this. It usually warrants a single line in the policy platform with no elaboration from any parties.
The problem is that Canada's allies are cutting the country out. And some of this is going to hurt economically. Trudeau and his cabinet have seemed paralyzed by this. They think our good standing won't be affected by the slow walking of getting to 2%. The announcement that Canada will purchase up to 12 submarines with requests for proposals in the fall is going to be posted. Canada in the 1980s/90s said it would order 12 submarines but it always seems that four is what the end number is. We should expect no less this time.
With the announcement of the submarines, we can expect the Norwegian/German consortium, the Swedes, the Koreans and the Spanish will all be bidding. We can expect a certain amount of competition between these parties. The last submarines purchased from the British were the Victoria-class which at the time seemed like a bargain since they were built but retired because the British had switched to all nuclear fleet. In the end they cost $750 million and that much again in refurbishments and then a $3 billion sustainability program. They have been marked by human error, tragedy and technical issues from the beginning. And now they have a hard time fielding a crew for even one.
The issue of the submarines keeps coming up because all around the world countries are building or buying them because of the threat to waterways from powers asserting themselves to access resources. Canada's Arctic is such a place. It can't be lost on Canada that even small places like Singapore have four subs. So true of Brazil, Malaysia and soon The Philippines.
Politico and Wall Street Journal have both blasted Canada and the BBC has done a story on it as well. The Sun newspaper chain blames Trudeau while never mentioning how poor the Harper government did while in majority. In Canada the blame game is usually one sided. There were cuts through Chretien, Martin, Harper and Trudeau's time. Procurement has been flawed for decades. Pierre Poilievre will have no less pressure from allies to state how he gets to 2% in next year's election.
The Trump assassination attempt is going to result in a very skittish United States over the next little while. Maybe a long while. There is not telling how the electorate will react. And it is uncertain if Biden can hold onto his candidacy after his poor performance in the debate. There could be severe consequences. Trump has already said there are few things limiting what he will do if president. And now the Supreme Court agrees.
If Trump becomes the president in November, Ukraine will likely be cut loose and the U.S. might pull out of NATO. The implications for this are immense. If Ukraine falls, it will start a refugee crisis in the millions. Canada may see a huge surge of refugees. It will certainly put all of Europe in crisis. The movement among the conservatives in the Republican party is that they should withdraw from the world save for many two places: Israel and China.
Trump thinks NATO members should be paying the U.S. actual cash for protection. The 2% is spending each country does for defence at home and for the NATO alliance. It isn't a transfer payment to the U.S. for protection. The U.S. receives the lion share of military spending contracts so they do very well in that regard. However, if Trump becomes President, he could bring about penalties immediately. Canada can't afford to have a plan that takes several years to realize. It could be a miserable four Trump years that Canada could take economic hits.
The Defence minister Bill Blair and those that previously served in the role need to make it clear to cabinet and the PM that they believe we don't have much time the avoid punishing responses economically and possibly terrible outcomes militarily.
The U.S. receives value from NATO because they have been drawn into two world wars originating in Europe and they don't want to be drawn into a third. They have managed to stay out of one in part due to NATO.
As for Canada, they will still face heat if they don't articulate in more detail what they are doing in defence. This past week it was revealed they bought a large hangar in Iqaluit that Russian and Chinese interests were looking at. The Department of National Defence had leased it in the past but foreign interest and the ability to land and shelter our new F-35 jets played a strong role in buying the hangar and lengthening the runway.
One significant agreement between Canada, Finland and the United States will see the three cooperate on icebreakers. The details are slim but all three countries need icebreakers to counter the Chinese and especially the Russians who have nearly 40 icebreakers including four nuclear ones. The talk has been that possibly 90 icebreakers might be built. That would be a remarkable number if it holds up. The U.S. is in desperate need with only two top class icebreakers.
One of the other things talked about at NATO conference that Canada looks to bring itself up to 2% spending is NORAD and air defence spending. The threat from Russia in the north is not lost on the government. The purchase of the hangar in Iqaluit is an indication they really don't want Russian or Chinese to set up operation in the north and dominate the area nor travel through it without so much as a by your leave. The problem with the $38.6 billion in spending is that a lot of it comes in the 2030s. It does nothing for 2025 when we may see huge blowback.
To mitigate the economic effects of increased spending on defence the government is likely to look at industrial policy. A military cyber warfare operations center is tied to out economic wellbeing. It isn't just international crime rings but government intervention that tries to disrupt our economic function to take our innovations without compensation. Runway expansions for military aircraft can double for northern access for civilian use as well. CFB Winnipeg and the Richardson Airport share the campus opposite one another. It is a policy that benefits both. Only Yellowknife also have a shared airport.
NORAD needs a deepwater port infrastructure and tugs and icebreakers in the north. Three are under construction in Iqaluit, Pond Inlet and Qikiqtujuarq all in Nunavut. Only Churchill, Manitoba is a deepwater port with a railway and airport attached. But the port is largely abandoned. First by the military and then by government of Canada. In recent years the military has rebuffed any mention of Churchill or the north. And yet, the NORAD commitment would imply ships, planes and yes, troops up there and not just on summer break. Canada is upgrading Iqaluit, Inuvik, Yellow Knife and Goose Bay for the military. It is worth noting that we see next to nothing in American media about NORAD. It is probably why Canada has felt no real pressure until recently.
Canada's election in 2025 could have military spending as an election issue. Wab Kinew, Manitoba's premier, has said Canada should speed up NATO spending to not run afoul of a new government in the U.S. This remark came at the premier's conference when the group agreed that the PM should stay out of provincial business save for federal transfers with no strings attached. In recent days Pierre Poilievre says he won't commit to 2% because Canada is broke. He may not get that option if the U.S. government promises punishment. There is some indication that Conservatives might pull out of assistance for Ukraine if the the U.S. does.
It is all very complicated and the election next year in Canada and this year in the U.S. will make it even more complicated. And all the while this is going on, you have Russia and China wanting to buy assets in Canada's north.
Tuesday, July 9, 2024
The Seniors Residences of Oakdale
As seen in the above illustration, there are three apartment building being built. The tallest at 7 storeys is closest to the road. with two more apartments in a U shape beside it. One of them closer to the road and the other less so. The parking lot is in the middle. There will be 270 units altogether.
At the corner of Oakdale and Grant there are already four multi-unit apartments, one facing right out to Grant. There were objections to those as well. However, Oakdale Drive remains largely a quiet Charleswood street with very large houses and sprawling properties.Monday, July 8, 2024
How is it Britain Can Transition Government in One Day?
Friday, July 5, 2024
1100 Corydon
The Italian restaurants and others that made the street walkable remains in place but the area but more businesses such as beauty shops, medical and dental clinics and law offices. More housing would also be welcome but that doesn't seem to be in the plans which is a shame.
What does seem to be happening is small sections of the street being transformed from single floor shops and restaurants to a mix of retail/restaurants and commercial tenants of up to three floors. This is happening a little bit at a time but changes in zoning means less setbacks from the sidewalk and more opportunity for balcony and rooftop stuff.
Corydon and Wentworth, just before Crescentwood Community Club, is the last stretch on commercial before angling into River Heights where commercial stretches are spotty at best. One such building at the corner aforementioned was Ralph Cantafio's Custom Tailors was a single floor shop that existed in River Heights since the 1950s. It has been rebuilt as a three floor, four commercial unit building that has no setbacks. It comes right to the curbside and extends to the end of its lot. It is an attractive building.